Base todayBare or trace
under 3 in at Longmire Rainier Nps · 9 mi · 2,755 ft · read 7 Nov
The next 6 weeks
Each week against its own normal. Models initialized 7 Nov.
| Weekly score | Base depth | Snowfall? | Temp. vs normal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7–13 NovPoor bet?+3.4 °C vs normal | no call | Much less than usual | +3.4 °C |
| 14–20 NovPoor bet?+2.1 °C vs normal | no call | Less than usual | +2.1 °C |
| 21–27 NovPoor bet?+1.2 °C vs normal | no call | Less than usual | +1.2 °C |
| 28 Nov – 4 DecPoor bet?+1.7 °C vs normal | no call | Less than usual | +1.7 °C |
| 5–11 DecPoor bet?+1.4 °C vs normal | no call | Near normal | +1.4 °C |
| 12–18 DecPoor bet?+1.7 °C vs normal | no call | Less than usual | +1.7 °C |
Season outlook
Expected base depth each month vs. normal, from models initialized November 2026.
Monthly score
November
Poor bet
0 in expected · normally 1 in · 20th percentile
December
Poor bet
2 in expected · normally 6 in · 18th percentile
January
Poor bet
2 in expected · normally 13 in · 14th percentile
February
Poor bet
1 in expected · normally 13 in · 11th percentile
March
Poor bet
1 in expected · normally 13 in · 11th percentile
April
Poor bet
0 in expected · normally 2 in · 15th percentile
Base depth outlook
The chance this month's base is below, near or above this mountain's normal.
November
Well below normal
66% below26%9%
Base depth odds: 66% below · 26% near · 9% above normal
December
Well below normal
73% below19%
Base depth odds: 73% below · 19% near · 7% above normal
January
Well below normal
75% below18%
Base depth odds: 75% below · 18% near · 7% above normal
February
Well below normal
77% below16%
Base depth odds: 77% below · 16% near · 6% above normal
March
Well below normal
79% below15%
Base depth odds: 79% below · 15% near · 6% above normal
April
Well below normal
77% below17%
Base depth odds: 77% below · 17% near · 6% above normal
Snow station
The base and the outlook for this lot come from the Longmire Rainier Nps station, 395 ft above the lot. A station above the lot reads deep and holds its snow longer than the lot does.
The place
- TypeSno-park
- UseNon-motorized
- AreaMt Tahoma South NM
- Elevation2,360 ft
Before you go
A Sno-Park permit is required to park here in winter.