Base todayBare or trace
under 3 in at Tinkham Creek · 8 mi · 3,000 ft · read 11 Nov
The next 6 weeks
Each week against its own normal. Models initialized 7 Nov.
| Weekly score | Base depth | Snowfall? | Temp. vs normal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7–13 NovPoor bet?+3.3 °C vs normal | no call | Much less than usual | +3.3 °C |
| 14–20 NovPoor bet?+2.4 °C vs normal | Bare or tracenormally under 3 in | Less than usual | +2.4 °C |
| 21–27 NovPoor bet?+1.4 °C vs normal | Well below normal1 in · normally 5 in | Less than usual | +1.4 °C |
| 28 Nov – 4 DecPoor bet?+1.9 °C vs normal | Well below normal2 in · normally 9 in | Less than usual | +1.9 °C |
| 5–11 DecPoor bet?+1.5 °C vs normal | Well below normal5 in · normally 14 in | Less than usual | +1.5 °C |
| 12–18 DecPoor bet?+1.7 °C vs normal | Well below normal8 in · normally 19 in | Less than usual | +1.7 °C |
Season outlook
Expected base depth each month vs. normal, from models initialized November 2026.
Monthly score
November
Poor bet
1 in expected · normally 3 in · 20th percentile
December
Poor bet
10 in expected · normally 24 in · 16th percentile
January
Poor bet
23 in expected · normally 46 in · 12th percentile
February
Poor bet
35 in expected · normally 56 in · 11th percentile
March
Poor bet
33 in expected · normally 70 in · 9th percentile
April
Poor bet
32 in expected · normally 63 in · 10th percentile
Base depth outlook
The chance this month's base is below, near or above this mountain's normal.
November
Well below normal
70% below23%
Base depth odds: 70% below · 23% near · 7% above normal
December
Well below normal
77% below16%
Base depth odds: 77% below · 16% near · 6% above normal
January
Well below normal
77% below16%
Base depth odds: 77% below · 16% near · 7% above normal
February
Well below normal
81% below13%
Base depth odds: 81% below · 13% near · 6% above normal
March
Well below normal
83% below11%
Base depth odds: 83% below · 11% near · 6% above normal
April
Well below normal
82% below12%
Base depth odds: 82% below · 12% near · 6% above normal
Snow station
The base and the outlook for this route come from the Tinkham Creek station, 143 ft below the trailhead. A station below the trailhead reads low and melts out early, so the snow here is usually deeper and lasts longer.
The place
- TypeBackcountry route
- AreaSnoqualmie Pass
- Elevation3,143 ft to 6,239 ft
Before you go
The forecast and score here cover snow, sun and rain at the lot and on the snowfield above it. They leave out avalanche hazard, wind, finding your way in cloud, and whether the road is open. Check the avalanche forecast and the road status before you go.