Base todayBare or trace
under 3 in at Wells Creek · 5 mi · 4,030 ft · read 11 Nov
The next 6 weeks
Each week against its own normal. Models initialized 7 Nov.
| Weekly score | Base depth | Snowfall? | Temp. vs normal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7–13 NovPoor bet?+3.3 °C vs normal | Bare or tracenormally under 3 in | Much less than usual | +3.3 °C |
| 14–20 NovPoor bet?+2.8 °C vs normal | Well below normal1 in · normally 6 in | More than usual | +2.8 °C |
| 21–27 NovPoor bet?+1.6 °C vs normal | Well below normal3 in · normally 13 in | Near normal | +1.6 °C |
| 28 Nov – 4 DecPoor bet?+2.3 °C vs normal | Well below normal6 in · normally 22 in | Less than usual | +2.3 °C |
| 5–11 DecPoor bet?+1.9 °C vs normal | Well below normal11 in · normally 29 in | Less than usual | +1.9 °C |
| 12–18 DecPoor bet?+2.1 °C vs normal | Well below normal14 in · normally 32 in | Near normal | +2.1 °C |
Season outlook
Expected base depth each month vs. normal, from models initialized November 2026.
Monthly score
November
Poor bet
4 in expected · normally 10 in · 22nd percentile
December
Poor bet
20 in expected · normally 37 in · 18th percentile
January
Poor bet
33 in expected · normally 54 in · 14th percentile
February
Poor bet
33 in expected · normally 68 in · 12th percentile
March
Poor bet
42 in expected · normally 88 in · 12th percentile
April
Marginal
51 in expected · normally 85 in · 13th percentile
Base depth outlook
The chance this month's base is below, near or above this mountain's normal.
November
Well below normal
66% below25%
Base depth odds: 66% below · 25% near · 8% above normal
December
Well below normal
74% below19%
Base depth odds: 74% below · 19% near · 7% above normal
January
Well below normal
76% below17%
Base depth odds: 76% below · 17% near · 7% above normal
February
Well below normal
80% below14%
Base depth odds: 80% below · 14% near · 6% above normal
March
Well below normal
82% below13%
Base depth odds: 82% below · 13% near · 6% above normal
April
Well below normal
80% below15%
Base depth odds: 80% below · 15% near · 6% above normal
Snow station
The base and the outlook for this route come from the Wells Creek station, 405 ft below the trailhead. A station below the trailhead reads low and melts out early, so the snow here is usually deeper and lasts longer.
The place
- TypeBackcountry route
- AreaMount Baker
- Elevation4,435 ft to 5,739 ft
Before you go
The forecast and score here cover snow, sun and rain at the lot and on the snowfield above it. They leave out avalanche hazard, wind, finding your way in cloud, and whether the road is open. Check the avalanche forecast and the road status before you go.