Base todayBare or trace
under 3 in at Waterhole · 4 mi · 5,010 ft · read 11 Nov
The next 6 weeks
Each week against its own normal. Models initialized 7 Nov.
| Weekly score | Base depth | Snowfall? | Temp. vs normal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7–13 NovPoor bet?+3.0 °C vs normal | Well below normal1 in · normally 4 in | Much less than usual | +3.0 °C |
| 14–20 NovPoor bet?+2.0 °C vs normal | Well below normal3 in · normally 7 in | Less than usual | +2.0 °C |
| 21–27 NovPoor bet?+1.1 °C vs normal | Well below normal5 in · normally 10 in | Much less than usual | +1.1 °C |
| 28 Nov – 4 DecPoor bet?+1.6 °C vs normal | Well below normal8 in · normally 21 in | Less than usual | +1.6 °C |
| 5–11 DecPoor bet?+1.5 °C vs normal | Well below normal12 in · normally 25 in | Less than usual | +1.5 °C |
| 12–18 DecPoor bet?+1.6 °C vs normal | Well below normal16 in · normally 28 in | Less than usual | +1.6 °C |
Season outlook
Expected base depth each month vs. normal, from models initialized November 2026.
Monthly score
November
Poor bet
6 in expected · normally 10 in · 32nd percentile
December
Poor bet
25 in expected · normally 32 in · 34th percentile
January
Marginal
41 in expected · normally 62 in · 28th percentile
February
Marginal
41 in expected · normally 77 in · 22nd percentile
March
Solid
62 in expected · normally 89 in · 21st percentile
April
Solid
65 in expected · normally 91 in · 24th percentile
Base depth outlook
The chance this month's base is below, near or above this mountain's normal.
November
Well below normal
52% below38% near10%
Base depth odds: 52% below · 38% near · 10% above normal
December
Below normal
49% below39% near12%
Base depth odds: 49% below · 39% near · 12% above normal
January
Well below normal
57% below30%13%
Base depth odds: 57% below · 30% near · 13% above normal
February
Well below normal
65% below26%9%
Base depth odds: 65% below · 26% near · 9% above normal
March
Well below normal
67% below25%
Base depth odds: 67% below · 25% near · 8% above normal
April
Well below normal
61% below31%
Base depth odds: 61% below · 31% near · 8% above normal
Snow station
The base and the outlook for this route come from the Waterhole station, 248 ft below the trailhead. A station below the trailhead reads low and melts out early, so the snow here is usually deeper and lasts longer.
The place
- TypeBackcountry route
- AreaOlympic National Park
- Elevation5,258 ft to 6,433 ft
Before you go
The forecast and score here cover snow, sun and rain at the lot and on the snowfield above it. They leave out avalanche hazard, wind, finding your way in cloud, and whether the road is open. Check the avalanche forecast and the road status before you go.