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Segelsen Creek

Sno-park · Washington · Mt Baker, SR 530 · 1,600 ft

Base todayBare or trace

under 3 in at Upper Baker Dam · 24 mi · 690 ft · read 10 Nov

The next 6 weeks

Each week against its own normal. Models initialized 7 Nov.

Weekly scoreBase depthSnowfall?Temp. vs normal
7–13 NovPoor bet?+3.3 °C vs normalno callMuch less than usual+3.3 °C
14–20 NovPoor bet?+2.4 °C vs normalno callLess than usual+2.4 °C
21–27 NovPoor bet?+1.4 °C vs normalno callLess than usual+1.4 °C
28 Nov – 4 DecPoor bet?+1.9 °C vs normalno callLess than usual+1.9 °C
5–11 DecPoor bet?+1.5 °C vs normalno callLess than usual+1.5 °C
12–18 DecPoor bet?+1.7 °C vs normalBare or tracenormally under 3 inLess than usual+1.7 °C

Season outlook

Expected base depth each month vs. normal, from models initialized November 2026.

Monthly score

November
Poor bet
0 in expected · normally 0 in · 22nd percentile
December
Poor bet
0 in expected · normally 2 in · 19th percentile
January
Poor bet
0 in expected · normally 4 in · 14th percentile
February
Poor bet
0 in expected · normally 1 in · 12th percentile
March
Poor bet
0 in expected · normally 0 in · 13th percentile
April
Poor bet
0 in expected · normally 0 in · 23rd percentile

Base depth outlook

The chance this month's base is below, near or above this mountain's normal.

November
Well below normal
63% below28%10%
Base depth odds: 63% below · 28% near · 10% above normal
December
Well below normal
70% below23%
Base depth odds: 70% below · 23% near · 8% above normal
January
Well below normal
73% below20%
Base depth odds: 73% below · 20% near · 7% above normal
February
Well below normal
75% below18%
Base depth odds: 75% below · 18% near · 7% above normal
March
Well below normal
72% below21%
Base depth odds: 72% below · 21% near · 7% above normal
April
Well below normal
67% below20%13%
Base depth odds: 67% below · 20% near · 13% above normal

Snow station

The base and the outlook for this lot come from the Upper Baker Dam station, 910 ft below the lot. A station below the lot reads low and melts out early, so the snow here is usually deeper and lasts longer.

The place

Before you go

A Sno-Park permit is required to park here in winter.

Washington State Parks: Sno-Park permits ↗