where2.ski › Western US

South Toponce Warming Shelter

Sno-park · Idaho · Lava Hot Springs · 6,390 ft

Base todayBare or trace

under 3 in at Wildhorse Divide · 20 mi · 6,480 ft · read 12 Nov

The next 6 weeks

Each week against its own normal. Models initialized 7 Nov.

Weekly scoreBase depthSnowfall?Temp. vs normal
14–20 NovPoor bet?+3.4 °C vs normalBare or tracenormally under 3 inLess than usual+3.4 °C
21–27 NovPoor bet?+1.0 °C vs normalWell below normal2 in · normally 4 inMore than usual+1.0 °C
28 Nov – 4 DecPoor bet?+1.4 °C vs normalBelow normal4 in · normally 9 inMore than usual+1.4 °C
5–11 DecPoor bet?+1.5 °C vs normalBelow normal9 in · normally 10 inNear normal+1.5 °C
12–18 DecPoor bet?+1.0 °C vs normalBelow normal10 in · normally 14 inLess than usual+1.0 °C
19–25 Decnot forecast yet?

Season outlook

Expected base depth each month vs. normal, from models initialized November 2026.

Monthly score

November
Poor bet
2 in expected · normally 4 in · 37th percentile
December
Poor bet
12 in expected · normally 15 in · 35th percentile
January
Marginal
22 in expected · normally 24 in · 36th percentile
February
Great
30 in expected · normally 34 in · 38th percentile
March
Great
33 in expected · normally 36 in · 40th percentile
April
Solid
23 in expected · normally 26 in · 41st percentile

Base depth outlook

The chance this month's base is below, near or above this mountain's normal.

November
Below normal
45% below43% near12%
Base depth odds: 45% below · 43% near · 12% above normal
December
Below normal
48% below36% near15%
Base depth odds: 48% below · 36% near · 15% above normal
January
Below normal
47% below37% near15%
Base depth odds: 47% below · 37% near · 15% above normal
February
Below normal
44% below45% near11%
Base depth odds: 44% below · 45% near · 11% above normal
March
Below normal
41% below48% near11%
Base depth odds: 41% below · 48% near · 11% above normal
April
Below normal
37% below45% near18%
Base depth odds: 37% below · 45% near · 18% above normal

Snow station

The base and the outlook for this lot come from the Wildhorse Divide station, 92 ft above the lot. A station above the lot reads deep and holds its snow longer than the lot does.

The place

Before you go

No parking permit is listed for this lot. Whether the lot is plowed is not tracked here.

Official site: fs.usda.gov ↗