where2.ski › Western US

Tumalo Mountain from Dutchman Flat

Backcountry route · Oregon · Central Oregon · 6,360 ft

Base todayBare or trace

under 3 in at Three Creeks Meadow · 10 mi · 5,680 ft · read 12 Nov

The next 6 weeks

Each week against its own normal. Models initialized 7 Nov.

Weekly scoreBase depthSnowfall?Temp. vs normal
7–13 NovPoor bet?+3.4 °C vs normalBare or tracenormally under 3 inMuch less than usual+3.4 °C
14–20 NovPoor bet?+1.2 °C vs normalBare or tracenormally under 3 inNear normal+1.2 °C
21–27 NovPoor bet?+0.6 °C vs normalWell below normal1 in · normally 6 inMore than usual+0.6 °C
28 Nov – 4 DecPoor bet?+1.4 °C vs normalWell below normal5 in · normally 9 inLess than usual+1.4 °C
5–11 DecPoor bet?+1.0 °C vs normalWell below normal6 in · normally 12 inNear normal+1.0 °C
12–18 DecPoor bet?+1.1 °C vs normalWell below normal9 in · normally 14 inLess than usual+1.1 °C

Season outlook

Expected base depth each month vs. normal, from models initialized November 2026.

Monthly score

November
Poor bet
1 in expected · normally 4 in · 21st percentile
December
Poor bet
8 in expected · normally 19 in · 19th percentile
January
Poor bet
18 in expected · normally 35 in · 16th percentile
February
Poor bet
22 in expected · normally 43 in · 18th percentile
March
Marginal
34 in expected · normally 48 in · 24th percentile
April
Poor bet
14 in expected · normally 28 in · 26th percentile

Base depth outlook

The chance this month's base is below, near or above this mountain's normal.

November
Well below normal
66% below27%
Base depth odds: 66% below · 27% near · 7% above normal
December
Well below normal
75% below18%
Base depth odds: 75% below · 18% near · 6% above normal
January
Well below normal
74% below19%
Base depth odds: 74% below · 19% near · 7% above normal
February
Well below normal
73% below20%
Base depth odds: 73% below · 20% near · 7% above normal
March
Well below normal
69% below24%
Base depth odds: 69% below · 24% near · 7% above normal
April
Well below normal
65% below27%
Base depth odds: 65% below · 27% near · 8% above normal

Snow station

The base and the outlook for this route come from the Three Creeks Meadow station, 679 ft below the trailhead. A station below the trailhead reads low and melts out early, so the snow here is usually deeper and lasts longer.

The place

Before you go

The forecast and score here cover snow, sun and rain at the start and on the route above it. They leave out avalanche hazard, wind, finding your way in cloud, and whether the road is open. Check the avalanche forecast and the road status before you go.

Central Oregon Avalanche Center ↗

Official site: fs.usda.gov ↗